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Saturday, January 29, 2011

Completely WRONG

How completely wrong i was. Just happens to new guys like me. I thought we were in 5th wave forming a big Expanding diagonal. But we really had completed the 5th wave in November 4 at 6338. Looking at the huge downtrend the market seems to have taken , it doesn't look that like we are doing any uptrend in a 5th wave.
The Nifty is now below the 200 DMA and we have been in continuous downtrend since January 3 . I kept on thinking how to reconstruct the wave. I have done a lot of changes. See the chart below:

I hope i have correctly counted the waves this time. MACD is also showing a downtrend.What looks like we are in the [ iii ] wave of a larger C wave. And the Index just seems to be falling vertically. I thought we would be in the final 5th wave rallying because i thought the dollar was in downtrend.See the article below:

Dollar towards 3 year cycle low:

What I had atleast since May last year was that the Indian markets were doing the opposite of the Dollar which was going low. But i think every market has its own cycles and period where it has to go down irrespective of other forces.

I think the nifty has more distance to travel downwards.


Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Hi, we will start doing some interesting things soon. I hope this blog helps a lot of other people. This is my first attempt at blogging and Market technicals as well. So PARDON any mistakes