I thought that Nifty would atleast touch the Lower Bollinger band. But it did not. Though the Analog was as good as it gets . But that doesnt mean it did not work . Now we have to see whats ahead. First lets see where the market bounced from .
Bounced just above the 233 DMA, touched the 34 SMA, and also 33% retracement.
Now look at the following combination of HnS and Inverse HnS that we found when Nifty was climbing last January .
Bounced just above the 233 DMA, touched the 34 SMA, and also 33% retracement.
Now look at the following combination of HnS and Inverse HnS that we found when Nifty was climbing last January .
Now check this current Market doing a similar formation . I bet Nifty Futures will first target that Neckline at 5563. And then come back to complete the right shoulder . This is massively bullish if this analog works.
Also another reason to be bullish is the following chart of AUD/USD. I thought yesterday that we might come back to complete a 5 wave abcde bull flag. But the resistance line has been taken apart.
Doolar chart updated. The dollar analog correctly called the dollar movement .
Many people were calling for higher dollar by looking at the higher lows of the dollar. Its been going low and now we can see a HnS confirmed in daily chart . Next support is at the pink line and 61.8% retracement at 77.58
Bullish for NIFTY.
Hi jonak...As per what i have read in edwards magee, what we call valid H&S patterns take place after extensive rises and inverse H&S occur after extensive falls...You are showing 2 (one past and one potential) inverse H&S patterns that are occurring after rises.
ReplyDeleteSo basically these are not H&S patterns. While what you are surmising( i.e.. your forecast) may actually happen, it won't happen for the reason you think it has happened.
Thats my opinion from what I have read. BTW loads of analysts do the same thing , but i think its wrong analysis.
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ReplyDeleteyou have a good question ....But i think we can label them as continuation pattern...
ReplyDeleteI hope this will answer your question ::
http://peterlbrandt.com/do-continuation-head-and-shoulders-patterns-really-exist/
ok...nice reading that
ReplyDelete