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Monday, February 27, 2012

Nifty correction (Analog help)

UPDATE 1 :---I am kicking myself in the back for not spotting this one before. Watch the 2 charts . One from 2010 . After a similar rise to the one we had right before the fall, Nifty had a steep fall and hit the bollinger band( 20 period)



Now see this current path of Nifty . Now we are seeing a strong bounce right now. It doesnt mean analog behave exactly but the Pivot points should match . And that means todays bounce is just a 4th wave kind of a bounce and we are going down to touch the lower bollinger band in NIFTY FUTURES  over the next couple of sessions.


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Though the dollar moved lower as forecasted by the analog in below post, Nifty did not see a corresponding upmove. This shows that although Dollar and Nifty are inversely correlated , they dont always move opposite tick by tick. Each market has its own mind.
So Nifty starts correcting when it was at 61.8% retracement of last years fall, Defty was at 50% , and Bank nifty also at 61.8% .

Now the correction has been a bit too fast . We might keep on placing those fibonacci retracement levels, but most likely Nifty will find support on that lower bolinger band . The below chart is of Nifty futures, the lower bollinger band level comes at  5193 right now . We should reach there most probably tomorrow. So I am expecting another steep fall tomorrow. 5193 in Nifty Futures translates to 5150 in Nifty .  Lets see what happens tomorrow.

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